Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.078195 0.091512 0.106363 0.124149 0.144868 0.168243 0.196616
2026-01-18 0.059550 0.076477 0.097122 0.124141 0.158564 0.200959 0.257164
2026-01-25 0.045169 0.063002 0.086551 0.119891 0.165867 0.227048 0.314706
2026-02-01 0.034626 0.052068 0.076826 0.114476 0.170257 0.249868 0.372228
2026-02-08 0.027794 0.044776 0.070528 0.112330 0.178454 0.279036 0.443821
2026-02-15 0.022454 0.038550 0.064494 0.109220 0.184364 0.305558 0.516098
2026-02-22 0.019112 0.034802 0.061553 0.110306 0.196887 0.344252 0.614420
2026-03-01 0.016180 0.031129 0.057996 0.109563 0.206005 0.378590 0.711251
2026-03-08 0.013427 0.027208 0.053235 0.105693 0.208690 0.401890 0.792218
2026-03-15 0.011571 0.024622 0.050442 0.104924 0.216885 0.436356 0.899702
2026-03-22 0.010480 0.023348 0.049944 0.108529 0.234183 0.490871 1.055567
2026-03-29 0.009610 0.022364 0.049840 0.112888 0.253702 0.552814 1.236974
2026-04-05 0.008603 0.020965 0.048790 0.115448 0.270818 0.614700 1.434164
2026-04-12 0.007566 0.019290 0.046837 0.115672 0.282960 0.668390 1.624366
2026-04-19 0.006439 0.017160 0.043434 0.111855 0.285073 0.700142 1.770668
2026-04-26 0.005433 0.015120 0.039849 0.106890 0.283485 0.723075 1.900658
2026-05-03 0.004733 0.013730 0.037621 0.104943 0.289166 0.764806 2.086130
2026-05-10 0.004098 0.012379 0.035227 0.102072 0.291888 0.799642 2.260771
2026-05-17 0.003703 0.011630 0.034315 0.103112 0.305498 0.865502 2.532084
2026-05-24 0.003300 0.010763 0.032901 0.102433 0.314158 0.919634 2.781523
2026-05-31 0.002861 0.009685 0.030653 0.098821 0.313549 0.947799 2.961857
2026-06-07 0.002562 0.008991 0.029427 0.098108 0.321614 1.002635 3.232984
2026-06-14 0.002401 0.008723 0.029479 0.101486 0.343229 1.102003 3.661270